Eviction Risk in Carlton Park , Salem
Tract 51775010100 · Salem city, VA · pop 6,323 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Census tract 51775010100 sits in the Carlton Park neighborhood of Salem, Virginia. It has a population of 6,323 and an eviction-risk score of 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). 50% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 23% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $941/month against a median household income of $70,500 — roughly 16% rent-to-income at the medians.
Racial & ethnic composition
White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood — 6,313 residents. Source: ACS 5-year 2023 (Table B03002, tract level).
- Hispanic / Latino 8.4%
- White (non-Hispanic) 72.1%
- Black (non-Hispanic) 14.8%
- Asian (non-Hispanic) 0.5%
- Other / Multiracial 4.2%
How the 6.1/10 score is composed
| Signal | Score | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Filing rate (county) | 9.0 | Eviction Lab via counties |
| State political climate | 3.2 | states.state_political_baseline |
| Regional political climate | 4.0 | 2024 county presidential margin |
| Local political climate | 4.6 | Salem (inherited) |
| Rent control risk | 6.3 | Salem (inherited) |
| Eviction process difficulty | 2.8 | state law |
| Tenant organizing strength | 7.6 | Salem (inherited) |
| Housing court bias | 5.9 | Salem (inherited) |
| Economic stress (tract) | 3.2 | this tract poverty rate |
| Supply constraint (tract) | 3.2 | tract rent vs county FMR |
SVI percentile: 48
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 39%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 367Total filings over 2 yrs
- 19.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 22.0%Peak (2015)
- 164Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.2%Housing insecurity
- 7.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 11.9%SNAP enrollment
- 8.0%Transit barriers
- 8.2%No health insurance
- 18.2%Frequent mental distress
- 32.9%Any disability
Dominant grade: D — hazardous — formally redlined; mortgage applications routinely denied
Approximately 8% of this tract's area was graded by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Roanoke. Source: Mapping Inequality (Nelson, Winling, Marciano, Connolly et al., University of Richmond) — CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
- 0.0%A (Best)
- 1.8%B (Desirable)
- 1.3%C (Declining)
- 5.4%D (Redlined)
Redlining is correlated with present-day eviction-filing rates, lower home-ownership, and greater rent burden — see Aaronson, Hartley & Mazumder (FRB Chicago, 2021). The shading above reflects 90-year-old appraisals; it is historical context, not a current credit signal.
About tract 51775010100
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 51775010100?
Census tract 51775010100 in the Carlton Park neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The composite blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent burden + poverty signals.
What is the median rent in tract 51775010100?
Median gross rent is $941/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
What is the poverty rate in tract 51775010100?
12.6% of residents in tract 51775010100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,323.
How socially vulnerable is tract 51775010100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 23th, minority 47th, housing 77th.
Is tract 51775010100 considered part of Carlton Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 51775010100 fall within Carlton Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 51775010100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 367 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 51775010100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 19.02% of renter households, peaking at 22.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
What share of households in tract 51775010100 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Was tract 51775010100 redlined?
The dominant 1930s HOLC grade across this tract is D (Hazardous / redlined). Roughly 5% of the tract's area sits inside historically redlined (grade-D) zones drawn by Home Owners' Loan Corporation appraisers in Roanoke. Source: Mapping Inequality, University of Richmond.