Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally
Eastlake Eviction Risk: Elevated , Seattle
Tract 53033005402 · King County, WA · pop 3,056 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
53033005402 is a census tract in the Eastlake area of Seattle, WA. It scores 7.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,056 residents. The dominant input is local political climate at 9.5/10.
Risk score
7.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,778
Renter share73.9%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate7.5%
Median income$108,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
89
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Seattle and the region
Centroid at 47.6541, -122.3411 · click any tract to drill in
Why Eastlake scores 7.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
7.5% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,154 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5
How Eastlake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 10
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 18%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 34%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 49%Grade B
- 35%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Eastlake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Eastlake
The severe-burden share is 25%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Disability prevalence runs 15.4% against 31.5% nationally.
It sits 1.2 points above the King County average of 6.7. Cost burden runs 49% here against 44.1% across King County. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Seattle. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.9/10.
Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 53033005402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033005402?
Census tract 53033005402 in the Eastlake neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 53033005402?
Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 53033005402?
7.5% of residents in tract 53033005402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,056.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 53033005402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 0th, minority 34th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 53033005402 considered part of Eastlake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033005402 fall within Eastlake (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 53033005402 compare to Seattle overall?
Tract 53033005402 scores 7.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7
Was tract 53033005402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Seattle
Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · WA
South Lake Union
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Fairmont Springs
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Beach
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Japantown
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Little Saigon
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Vista
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
NewHolly
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · WA
Rainier Vista
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
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