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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

NewHolly Eviction Risk: High , Seattle

Tract 53033011002 · King County, WA · pop 4,733 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Tract 53033011002 sits in the NewHolly area of Seattle eviction risk, WA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. It is home to 4,733 residents. The score leans hardest on local political climate at 9.5/10.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 21% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,282
Renter share38.8%
SVI overall0.76
Poverty rate22.8%
Median income$82,386

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In NewHolly
Very Low
Within parent city
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#26 of 177 tracts In Seattle
High
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#20 of 494 tracts In King County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1,772 tracts In Washington
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.5406, -122.2992 · click any tract to drill in

Why NewHolly scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Seattle
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
Washington legislature & governorship
6.0
Economic stress
22.8% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,419 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Seattle
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Seattle
8.5

How NewHolly compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
NewHolly risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 011002Seattle: 7.97.9Seattleparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 76

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 100Total filings over 10 yrs
  • 1.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.4%Peak (2006)
  • 7Filings in 2013 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2013
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 530330110022004: 12 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2005: 8 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2006: 13 filings (1.44/100 renter HHs)2007: 12 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2008: 10 filings (1.11/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2010: 8 filings (1.51/100 renter HHs)2011: 9 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2012: 9 filings (1.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 42% over the past 10 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within NewHolly. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in NewHolly

It sits 2.6 points above the King County average of 6.7. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10. At $1,419 a month, rents run 30% under what the rest of Seattle commands. The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The severe-burden share is 12%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Court records carry 100 eviction filings across 10 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 1.4% of renter households were served.

In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 1.4% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the WA average is 5.9, so this tract runs 3.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033011002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033011002?

Census tract 53033011002 in the NewHolly neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 53033011002?

Median gross rent is $1,419/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033011002?

22.8% of residents in tract 53033011002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,733.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033011002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 76th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 84th, minority 90th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 53033011002 considered part of NewHolly?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033011002 fall within NewHolly (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 53033011002?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 100 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 53033011002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.39% of renter households, peaking at 1.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 53033011002 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033011002 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 53033011002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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