Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Eastlake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Seattle

Tract 53033005402 · King County, WA · pop 3,056 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

The Eastlake area of Seattle anchors census tract 53033005402, which lands at 6.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,154 a month against an average household income of $108,500 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

4.7

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 36% Stable renters 38% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units1,778

Renter share73.9%

SVI overall0.10

Poverty rate7.5%

Median income$108,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seattle and the region

Centroid at 47.6541, -122.3411 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eastlake scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Seattle

9.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.6

State political climate

Washington legislature & governorship

6.0

Economic stress

7.5% poverty · this tract

1.9

Supply constraint

$2,154 rent vs county FMR

3.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Seattle

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Seattle

8.5

How Eastlake compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

18%Socioeconomic
0%Household composition
34%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
49%Grade B
35%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Eastlake. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eastlake

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Seattle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the King County average of 5.5 and above the Washington statewide average of 5.2. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

Part of this tract, about 1% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 53033005402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 53033005402?

Census tract 53033005402 in the Eastlake neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 53033005402?

Median gross rent is $2,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 53033005402?

7.5% of residents in tract 53033005402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,056.

How socially vulnerable is tract 53033005402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 0th, minority 34th, housing 69th.

Is tract 53033005402 considered part of Eastlake?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 53033005402 fall within Eastlake (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).

How does tract 53033005402 compare to Seattle overall?

Tract 53033005402 scores 4.7/10, lower than the parent city of Seattle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Seattle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 53033005402 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Seattle

Top eight tracts in Seattle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.