Madison Eviction Risk: Lower

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. The voucher gap is 31.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. SNAP participation runs 4.4% against 15.2% nationally.

Food insecurity runs 8.3% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 1.0 points below the Limestone County average of 4.0. At $1,644 a month, rents run 13% over what the rest of Madison commands.

That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 12% of average household income of $168,942, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the AL average is 3.9, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.