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Neighborhood · Tuscaloosa, AL

Lake Forest Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 985 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.2/10 · range 5.2–5.2

Lake Forest is a one-tract neighborhood of Tuscaloosa, AL, population 985. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5.2/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. 50% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Tuscaloosa rate of 33.5%.

30% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is economic stress at 9.1/10. The poverty rate is 37%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. Average gross rent is $821, 22% below the Tuscaloosa average of $1,055.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.2/10. Among the 24 mapped neighborhoods of Tuscaloosa, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

For a like-for-like read, The Glens and Skyland Manor score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $33,319.

One tract means one number: 5.2/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Lake Forest vs Tuscaloosa How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
49.6% +48%
Tuscaloosa: 33.5%
Average gross rent
$821 -22%
Tuscaloosa: $1,055
Average HH income
$33,319 -31%
Tuscaloosa: $48,536
Poverty rate
36.5% +53%
Tuscaloosa: 23.8%
Renter share
79.2% +39%
Tuscaloosa: 57.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Forest and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.2–5.2

Why Lake Forest scores 5.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.3–4.3 across tracts
4.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.5–4.5 across tracts
4.5
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
79% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Economic stress
36.5% below poverty line · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Lake Forest vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Lake Forest score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.2Lake ForestNeighborhood3.8Parent cityhost city3.7Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Lake Forest

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
01125012001 5.2 985 50% $821
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 93%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 3%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 20%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 55%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Lake Forest

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Lake Forest

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Lake Forest?

Lake Forest scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Lake Forest compare to Tuscaloosa overall?

Lake Forest scores 1.4 points higher than Tuscaloosa overall (3.8/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $821 vs $1,055.
Q3

What is the average rent in Lake Forest?

Average gross rent in Lake Forest is $821/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Lake Forest residents are renters?

79% of Lake Forest households are renter-occupied (vs 57% in Tuscaloosa). The neighborhood has 985 residents.
Q5

Is Lake Forest a high social-vulnerability area?

Lake Forest sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Lake Forest for landlords?

Lake Forest carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Tuscaloosa as a whole (3.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Lake Forest?

Lake Forest has 1,357 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.1%), Black (non-Hispanic) (10.8%), Hispanic / Latino (3.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Lake Forest

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Tuscaloosa

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Lake Forest.

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