Bella Vista Eviction Risk: Lower

The voucher gap is 38.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.8/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10.

The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 3.3% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.4% against 14.2% nationally.

It sits 0.6 points below the Benton County average of 3.6. At $1,538 a month, rents run 10% over what the rest of Bella Vista commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 18% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.