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Census Tract · Ranked #7,456 of 84,120 nationally

Osceola Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 05093011000 · Mississippi County, AR · pop 3,459 · 84% of tract blocks fall in Osceola

Eviction risk in Osceola eviction risk centers on tract 05093011000, which scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,459 residents. That is riskier than about 66% of US census tracts.

50% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 36% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $565 monthly, set against $32,913 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 58% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 29% Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,426
Renter share57.9%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate39.9%
Median income$32,913

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Osceola
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 14 tracts In Mississippi County
High
Within state
95 th percentile
Rank, 95th percentileLowHigh
#41 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Very High
National
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#7,456 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Osceola and the region

Centroid at 35.7064, -89.9658 · click any tract to drill in

Why Osceola scores 6.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Osceola
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.9
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
39.9% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$565 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Osceola
4.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Osceola
9.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Osceola
6.4

How Osceola compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Osceola risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.56.5This tracttract 011000Osceola: 2.82.8Osceolaparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 98

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 29Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 0.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2015)
  • 3Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 050930110002000: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (0.08/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2007: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2008: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (0.37/100 renter HHs)2015: 21 filings (1.94/100 renter HHs)2017: 3 filings (0.26/100 renter HHs)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Osceola

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Osceola eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mississippi County average of 5.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 29 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 0.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.9% of renter households in 2015.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 98th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05093011000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05093011000?

Census tract 05093011000 in Osceola scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05093011000?

Median gross rent is $565/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05093011000?

39.9% of residents in tract 05093011000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,459.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05093011000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 96th, minority 87th, housing 95th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 05093011000?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 05093011000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.66% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 05093011000 struggle to pay rent?

About 30.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05093011000 compare to Osceola overall?

Tract 05093011000 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Osceola at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Osceola eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Osceola

Top eight tracts in Osceola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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