McClellan Place Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. 40% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the Little Rock rate of 29.6%. 72% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

The poverty rate is 27%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Running cool is eviction-process difficulty, at 2/10. Disability prevalence reaches 48.5% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute.

Well under the midpoint is housing-court posture, at 2/10. Severe burden reaches 12%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The voucher gap is 11.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Among the 21 mapped neighborhoods of Little Rock, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,147, close to the Little Rock average.

One tract means one number: 4.7/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.