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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Golden Gate Eviction Risk: High , Emeryville

Tract 06001425103 · Alameda, CA · pop 3,103 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 06001425103 covers part of the Golden Gate area of Emeryville, CA, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10.

Risk score
8.8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 43% Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,789
Renter share74.7%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$117,688

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In Golden Gate
Low
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Emeryville
Low
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#133 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Elevated
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#2,111 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Emeryville and the region

Centroid at 37.8426, -122.2898 · click any tract to drill in

Why Golden Gate scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Emeryville
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,916 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Emeryville
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Emeryville
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Emeryville
5.3

How Golden Gate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Golden Gate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.88.8This tracttract 425103Emeryville: 8.98.9Emeryvilleparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Golden Gate. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Golden Gate

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.0 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.2% against 11.3% nationally. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,916, close to the Emeryville average.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001425103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001425103?

Census tract 06001425103 in the Golden Gate neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001425103?

Median gross rent is $2,916/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001425103?

10.1% of residents in tract 06001425103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,103.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001425103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 1th, minority 78th, housing 62th.
Q5

Is tract 06001425103 considered part of Golden Gate?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001425103 fall within Golden Gate (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001425103 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001425103 compare to Emeryville overall?

Tract 06001425103 scores 8.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Emeryville at 8.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Emeryville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001425103 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Emeryville

Top eight tracts in Emeryville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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