Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally
Oroville Eviction Risk: High
Tract 06007002800 · Butte, CA · pop 4,918 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Oroville
Tract 06007002800 sits in Oroville, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.3/10. It is home to 4,918 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units1,976
Renter share67.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate28.0%
Median income$40,464
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
85
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
National
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oroville and the region
Centroid at 39.5072, -121.5607 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oroville scores 8.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oroville
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
28.0% poverty · this tract
7.0
Supply constraint
$1,080 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oroville
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oroville
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oroville
8.1
How Oroville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 92%Socioeconomic
- 65%Household composition
- 60%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 83Total filings over 1 yrs
- 7.28%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.3%Peak (2014)
- 83Filings in 2014 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 30.6%Food insecurity
- 36.6%SNAP enrollment
- 16.4%Transit barriers
- 12.1%No health insurance
- 24.1%Frequent mental distress
- 44.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oroville
SNAP participation runs 36.6% against 15.2% nationally. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $40,464 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.7 points above the Butte County average of 6.6.
The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
Against Butte County at 49.5%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 1 years of observation.
Housing insecurity runs 21.9% against 14.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when 7.3% of renter households were served.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06007002800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06007002800?
Census tract 06007002800 in Oroville scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06007002800?
Median gross rent is $1,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06007002800?
28.0% of residents in tract 06007002800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,918.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06007002800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 92th, household 65th, minority 60th, housing 98th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 06007002800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 83 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 06007002800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.28% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 06007002800 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06007002800 compare to Oroville overall?
Tract 06007002800 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of Oroville at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oroville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oroville
Top eight tracts in Oroville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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