Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally
Montalvin Manor Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06013392202 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 4,724 · 51% of tract blocks fall in Montalvin Manor
With a score of $1/10, tract 06013392202 in Montalvin Manor in Contra Costa County ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,724 residents. It lands near the 76th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 47% of renter households, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,710 a month against an average household income of $110,948 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,405
Renter share24.8%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$110,948
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
36
th percentile
Low
National
67
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Montalvin Manor and the region
Centroid at 38.0069, -122.3206 · click any tract to drill in
Why Montalvin Manor scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Montalvin Manor
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,710 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Montalvin Manor
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Montalvin Manor
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Montalvin Manor
7.5
How Montalvin Manor compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 43%Socioeconomic
- 84%Household composition
- 81%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.0%Housing insecurity
- 8.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.9%Food insecurity
- 17.5%SNAP enrollment
- 10.7%Transit barriers
- 13.9%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 33.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Montalvin Manor
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Montalvin Manor, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 17.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06013392202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013392202?
Census tract 06013392202 in Montalvin Manor scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06013392202?
Median gross rent is $2,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06013392202?
11.3% of residents in tract 06013392202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,724.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06013392202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 84th, minority 81th, housing 33th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06013392202 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06013392202 compare to Montalvin Manor overall?
Tract 06013392202 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Montalvin Manor at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Montalvin Manor; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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