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Census Tract · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally

San Pablo Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 06013367200 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 5,869 · 51% of tract blocks fall in San Pablo

San Pablo in Contra Costa County anchors census tract 06013367200, which lands at 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It lands near the 79th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,080 monthly, set against $94,884 in average yearly household income, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 19% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,773
Renter share40.0%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate11.3%
Median income$94,884

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 7 tracts In San Pablo
Very Low
Within county
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
High
Within state
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#4,313 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#15,522 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Pablo and the region

Centroid at 37.9660, -122.3356 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Pablo scores 5.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Pablo
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.3% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$2,080 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Pablo
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Pablo
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Pablo
6.7

How San Pablo compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
San Pablo risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.75.7This tracttract 367200San Pablo: 8.38.3San Pabloparent cityCounty: 4.14.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Pablo

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Pablo, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Contra Costa County average of 5.7 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and Asian and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 20.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013367200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013367200?

Census tract 06013367200 in San Pablo scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013367200?

Median gross rent is $2,080/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013367200?

11.3% of residents in tract 06013367200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,869.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013367200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 70th, minority 94th, housing 79th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06013367200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06013367200 compare to San Pablo overall?

Tract 06013367200 scores 5.7/10, lower than the parent city of San Pablo at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Pablo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Pablo

Top eight tracts in San Pablo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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