Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Cottonwood Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06029002501 ·
Kern, CA · pop 4,429 · 48% of tract blocks fall in Cottonwood
Tract 06029002501 sits in Cottonwood, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. Population here is 4,429. Housing insecurity runs 37.9% against 14.2% nationally.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%Stable renters 33%Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,143
Renter share59.8%
SVI overall0.98
Poverty rate32.2%
Median income$42,768
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Cottonwood
Moderate
Within county
41th percentile
#140 of 236 tracts In Kern
Moderate
Within state
23th percentile
#7,047 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
78th percentile
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Cottonwood and the region
Centroid at 35.3463, -118.9933 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cottonwood scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cottonwood
3.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
32.2% poverty · this tract
8.1
Supply constraint
$943 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cottonwood
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cottonwood
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cottonwood
4.3
How Cottonwood compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 98
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
37.9%Housing insecurity
22.9%Utility-shutoff threat
51.3%Food insecurity
53.5%SNAP enrollment
25.7%Transit barriers
30.2%No health insurance
23.8%Frequent mental distress
50.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cottonwood
27% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The poverty rate is 32%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10. Running hot, economic stress reads 8.1/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 22.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 2.7/10. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 9.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
45% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06029002501
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002501?
Census tract 06029002501 in Cottonwood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06029002501?
Median gross rent is $943/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002501?
32.2% of residents in tract 06029002501 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,429.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002501?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 98th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 96th, household 93th, minority 96th, housing 91th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06029002501 struggle to pay rent?
About 37.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06029002501 compare to Cottonwood overall?
Tract 06029002501 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Cottonwood at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cottonwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.