Neighborhood · Ranked #5,730 of 84,120 nationally

Mint Canyon Eviction Risk: High , Santa Clarita

Tract 06037920047 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 7,559 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06037920047 is a census tract in the Mint Canyon area of Santa Clarita, CA. It scores 8.4/10 for landlords. 36% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.4

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 56% Stable renters 37% Owners 7%

Tract context

Occupied units1,953

Renter share93.2%

SVI overall0.91

Poverty rate26.1%

Median income$66,417

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Santa Clarita and the region

Centroid at 34.4116, -118.4517 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mint Canyon scores 8.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Santa Clarita

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.2

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

26.1% poverty · this tract

6.5

Supply constraint

$2,328 rent vs county FMR

3.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Santa Clarita

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Santa Clarita

6.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Santa Clarita

6.4

How Mint Canyon compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 91

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

89%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
89%Racial/ethnic minority
87%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mint Canyon. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

26.9%Housing insecurity
12.1%Utility-shutoff threat
31.9%Food insecurity
29.2%SNAP enrollment
15.5%Transit barriers
18.0%No health insurance
20.7%Frequent mental distress
34.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mint Canyon

93% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $66,417, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 31.9% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 29.2% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.5/10. Against Los Angeles County at 53.8%, 60% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.2/10. At $2,328 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Santa Clarita commands. That is riskier than roughly 93% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.2/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037920047

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037920047?

Census tract 06037920047 in the Mint Canyon neighborhood scores 8.4/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06037920047?

Median gross rent is $2,328/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037920047?

26.1% of residents in tract 06037920047 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,559.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037920047?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 91th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 89th, household 71th, minority 89th, housing 87th.

Is tract 06037920047 considered part of Mint Canyon?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037920047 fall within Mint Canyon (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06037920047 struggle to pay rent?

About 26.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06037920047 compare to Santa Clarita overall?

Tract 06037920047 scores 8.4/10, higher than the parent city of Santa Clarita at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santa Clarita eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santa Clarita

Top eight tracts in Santa Clarita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.