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Census Tract · Ranked #11,930 of 84,120 nationally

Winton Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047000505 · Merced, CA · pop 7,283 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Winton

Eviction risk in Winton in Merced County centers on tract 06047000505, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 7,283 residents. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,273 a month while the average household earns $69,044 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. Renters make up 29% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 16% Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,771
Renter share29.2%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate7.2%
Median income$69,044

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Winton
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#51 of 63 tracts In Merced
Very Low
Within state
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#3,734 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,930 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Winton and the region

Centroid at 37.3574, -120.6498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Winton scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Winton
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.2% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$1,273 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Winton
6.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Winton
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Winton
6.4

How Winton compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Winton risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 000505Winton: 8.38.3Wintonparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Winton

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Winton, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Merced County average of 6.0 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 22.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 85th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047000505

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047000505?

Census tract 06047000505 in Winton scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047000505?

Median gross rent is $1,273/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047000505?

7.2% of residents in tract 06047000505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,283.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047000505?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 73th, minority 87th, housing 74th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047000505 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047000505 compare to Winton overall?

Tract 06047000505 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Winton at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Winton; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Winton

Top eight tracts in Winton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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