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Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally

Montbury Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mission Viejo

Tract 06059032047 · Orange, CA · pop 4,187 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 06059032047 covers part of the Montbury area of Mission Viejo, CA, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,187. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 27% Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units2,134
Renter share45.7%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$118,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Montbury
Moderate
Within parent city
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 21 tracts In Mission Viejo
High
Within county
26 th percentile
Rank, 26th percentileLowHigh
#452 of 613 tracts In Orange
Low
Within state
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#7,047 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mission Viejo and the region

Centroid at 33.6575, -117.6419 · click any tract to drill in

Why Montbury scores 6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$2,582 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mission Viejo
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mission Viejo
5.7

How Montbury compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Montbury risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.0This tracttract 0320476.5Mission Viejoparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Montbury

41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Orange County average of 51.8%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.2/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10.

Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally. At $2,582 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Mission Viejo commands.

Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Mission Viejo as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $118,333.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059032047

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059032047?

Census tract 06059032047 in the Montbury neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06059032047?

Median gross rent is $2,582/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059032047?

7.6% of residents in tract 06059032047 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,187.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059032047?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 14th, minority 64th, housing 46th.
Q5

Is tract 06059032047 considered part of Montbury?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059032047 fall within Montbury (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06059032047 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06059032047 compare to Mission Viejo overall?

Tract 06059032047 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Mission Viejo at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mission Viejo; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mission Viejo

Top eight tracts in Mission Viejo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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