Coronado Eviction Risk: Elevated

32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.8/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $111,023, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10.

The voucher gap is 20.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

That is riskier than roughly 88% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Average gross rent is $3,458, close to the Coronado average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.