Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,119 of 84,120 nationally
Green Gables Eviction Risk: High , East Palo Alto
Tract 06081611902 · San Mateo, CA · pop 7,336 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
Census tract 06081611902 covers part of the Green Gables area of East Palo Alto, CA, and scores 9/10 on landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 47%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,058
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$108,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
80
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region
Centroid at 37.4674, -122.1248 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Gables scores 9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,446 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0
How Green Gables compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Gables
Cost burden runs 74% here against 44.9% across San Mateo County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.3/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10. Against the San Mateo County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.4/10.
Average gross rent is $2,446, 9% above the East Palo Alto average. Nationally it ranks #4,119 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $108,571. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081611902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081611902?
Census tract 06081611902 in the Green Gables neighborhood scores 9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081611902?
Median gross rent is $2,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081611902?
12.7% of residents in tract 06081611902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,336.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081611902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 06081611902 considered part of Green Gables?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081611902 fall within Green Gables (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081611902 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081611902 compare to East Palo Alto overall?
Tract 06081611902 scores 9/10, higher than the parent city of East Palo Alto at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto
Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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