Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,240 of 84,120 nationally
Green Gables Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Palo Alto
Tract 06081611902 · San Mateo, CA · pop 7,336 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
The Green Gables area of East Palo Alto anchors census tract 06081611902, which lands at 5.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 73% of US census tracts.
About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 47% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,446 a month while the average household earns $108,571 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 33% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units2,058
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate12.7%
Median income$108,571
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
48
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Palo Alto and the region
Centroid at 37.4674, -122.1248 · click any tract to drill in
Why Green Gables scores 5.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.7% poverty · this tract
3.2
Supply constraint
$2,446 rent vs county FMR
2.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Palo Alto
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Palo Alto
9.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Palo Alto
7.0
How Green Gables compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 52%Socioeconomic
- 40%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 20.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 19.9%SNAP enrollment
- 12.0%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 30.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Green Gables
The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.3/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Palo Alto, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the San Mateo County average of 5.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 65th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 20.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081611902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081611902?
Census tract 06081611902 in the Green Gables neighborhood scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081611902?
Median gross rent is $2,446/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081611902?
12.7% of residents in tract 06081611902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,336.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081611902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 52th, household 40th, minority 85th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 06081611902 considered part of Green Gables?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081611902 fall within Green Gables (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081611902 struggle to pay rent?
About 20.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081611902 compare to East Palo Alto overall?
Tract 06081611902 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of East Palo Alto at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Palo Alto; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Palo Alto
Top eight tracts in East Palo Alto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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