Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Shelter Cove Eviction Risk: Elevated , Pacifica
Tract 06081603200 · San Mateo, CA · pop 3,733 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
06081603200 is a census tract in the Shelter Cove area of Pacifica, CA. It scores 6.7/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,733 residents. The severe-burden share is 71%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,315
Renter share22.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$139,519
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pacifica and the region
Centroid at 37.5909, -122.5080 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shelter Cove scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Pacifica
8.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.9
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$3,477 rent vs county FMR
5.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pacifica
7.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pacifica
6.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pacifica
5.5
How Shelter Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 16
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 12%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.2%Housing insecurity
- 4.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.0%Food insecurity
- 8.4%SNAP enrollment
- 6.0%Transit barriers
- 5.5%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 25.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shelter Cove
Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 44.9% across San Mateo County. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.4/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.1/10. Food insecurity runs 10.0% against 17.8% nationally.
Average gross rent is $3,477, 12% above the Pacifica average. Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.5/10.
Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the San Mateo County average of 7.0 closely.
Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $139,519.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06081603200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06081603200?
Census tract 06081603200 in the Shelter Cove neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06081603200?
Median gross rent is $3,477/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06081603200?
6.9% of residents in tract 06081603200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,733.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06081603200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 15th, minority 49th, housing 34th.
Q5
Is tract 06081603200 considered part of Shelter Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06081603200 fall within Shelter Cove (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06081603200 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06081603200 compare to Pacifica overall?
Tract 06081603200 scores 6.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Pacifica at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pacifica; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pacifica
Top eight tracts in Pacifica ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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