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Census Tract · Ranked #10,320 of 84,120 nationally

Orcutt Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06083002009 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 3,806

Census tract 06083002009 covers part of Orcutt, CA, and scores 7.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,806 residents. 45% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 9% Owners 70%
Tract context
Occupied units1,342
Renter share30.6%
SVI overall0.66
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$69,734

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 8 tracts In Orcutt
Very High
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#40 of 108 tracts In Santa Barbara
Elevated
Within state
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#4,386 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#10,320 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Orcutt and the region

Centroid at 34.8722, -120.4277 · click any tract to drill in

Why Orcutt scores 7.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Orcutt
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$2,092 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orcutt
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orcutt
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orcutt
5.7

How Orcutt compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Orcutt risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.5This tracttract 0020096.1Orcuttparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 66

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Orcutt

around two-thirds of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Santa Barbara County average of 51.2%. Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income of $69,734, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.8/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

SNAP participation runs 22.6% against 15.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 88th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 6.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0 closely.

Average gross rent is $2,092, close to the Orcutt average. 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083002009

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083002009?

Census tract 06083002009 in Orcutt scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06083002009?

Median gross rent is $2,092/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083002009?

20.1% of residents in tract 06083002009 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,806.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083002009?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 66th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 88th, minority 60th, housing 54th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06083002009 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06083002009 compare to Orcutt overall?

Tract 06083002009 scores 7.5/10, higher than the parent city of Orcutt at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orcutt; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Orcutt

Top eight tracts in Orcutt ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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