Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Toro Canyon Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06083001706 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 4,599 · 37% of tract blocks fall in Toro Canyon
06083001706 is a census tract in Toro Canyon, CA. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. Against the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.5 points.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,019
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$137,117
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
2
th percentile
Very Low
National
51
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Toro Canyon and the region
Centroid at 34.4401, -119.5033 · click any tract to drill in
Why Toro Canyon scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Toro Canyon
6.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,099 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Toro Canyon
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Toro Canyon
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Toro Canyon
5.6
How Toro Canyon compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 37%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 8.8%Food insecurity
- 7.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 5.9%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 28.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Toro Canyon
Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.9/10.
Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Santa Barbara County at 51.2%, 45% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 8.8% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 7.8% against 15.2% nationally.
That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.4/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 3.0 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06083001706
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083001706?
Census tract 06083001706 in Toro Canyon scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06083001706?
Median gross rent is $2,099/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06083001706?
4.4% of residents in tract 06083001706 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,599.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06083001706?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 4th, minority 47th, housing 82th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06083001706 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06083001706 compare to Toro Canyon overall?
Tract 06083001706 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Toro Canyon at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Toro Canyon; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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