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Census Tract · Ranked #14,906 of 84,120 nationally

Vandenberg AFB Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06083980200 · Santa Barbara, CA · pop 3,655 · 61% of tract blocks fall in Vandenberg AFB

Census tract 06083980200 covers part of Vandenberg AFB, CA, and scores 6.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,655 residents. Against Santa Barbara County at 51.2%, roughly three in four of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 75% Stable renters 25% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units1,174
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$83,023

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Vandenberg AFB
Very Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#61 of 108 tracts In Santa Barbara
Moderate
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#5,947 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#14,906 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vandenberg AFB and the region

Centroid at 34.6465, -120.5681 · click any tract to drill in

Why Vandenberg AFB scores 6.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Vandenberg AFB
6.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,459 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Vandenberg AFB
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Vandenberg AFB
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Vandenberg AFB
5.5

How Vandenberg AFB compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Vandenberg AFB risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.6This tracttract 9802007.2Vandenberg AFBparent city7.0Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Vandenberg AFB

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $83,023 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.9/10.

At $2,459 a month, rents run 10% under what the rest of Vandenberg AFB commands. That is riskier than roughly 82% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Santa Barbara County average of 7.0 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06083980200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06083980200?

Census tract 06083980200 in Vandenberg AFB scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06083980200?

Median gross rent is $2,459/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06083980200?

2.1% of residents in tract 06083980200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,655.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06083980200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 37th, household 17th, minority 62th, housing 25th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06083980200 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06083980200 compare to Vandenberg AFB overall?

Tract 06083980200 scores 6.6/10, lower than the parent city of Vandenberg AFB at 7.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Vandenberg AFB; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Vandenberg AFB

Top eight tracts in Vandenberg AFB ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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