Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Historic District Eviction Risk: High , San Jose

Tract 06085500901 · Santa Clara, CA · pop 4,459 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Tract 06085500901 sits in the Downtown Historic District area of San Jose eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.9/10. It is home to 4,459 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 42% Stable renters 38% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units2,216

Renter share79.3%

SVI overall0.68

Poverty rate37.1%

Median income$81,197

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Jose and the region

Centroid at 37.3352, -121.8841 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Historic District scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

7.4

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

37.1% poverty · this tract

9.3

Supply constraint

$2,135 rent vs county FMR

1.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Jose

9.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Jose

8.5

How Downtown Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 68

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
3%Household composition
82%Racial/ethnic minority
96%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
39%Grade C
1%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
9.7%Utility-shutoff threat
21.5%Food insecurity
20.4%SNAP enrollment
12.4%Transit barriers
8.8%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
30.4%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Historic District

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10. On the high side, economic stress reads 9.3/10. The poverty rate is 37%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9/10. Against the Santa Clara County average of 8.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

Cost burden runs 53% here against 43.5% across Santa Clara County. Average gross rent is $2,135, 20% below the San Jose average. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06085500901

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06085500901?

Census tract 06085500901 in the Downtown Historic District neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06085500901?

Median gross rent is $2,135/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06085500901?

37.1% of residents in tract 06085500901 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,459.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06085500901?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 3th, minority 82th, housing 96th.

Is tract 06085500901 considered part of Downtown Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06085500901 fall within Downtown Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06085500901 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06085500901 compare to San Jose overall?

Tract 06085500901 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Jose at 9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Jose eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06085500901 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Jose

Top eight tracts in San Jose ranked by composite eviction-risk score.