Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Forestville Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06097153705 ·
Sonoma, CA · pop 3,424 · 50% of tract blocks fall in Forestville
With a score of 6/10, tract 06097153705 in Forestville, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,424 residents. around a third of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Sonoma County average of 49.9%.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 17%Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,452
Renter share25.8%
SVI overall0.39
Poverty rate6.6%
Median income$112,941
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Forestville
Very Low
Within county
18th percentile
#100 of 121 tracts In Sonoma
Very Low
Within state
23th percentile
#7,047 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
National
78th percentile
#18,163 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Forestville and the region
Centroid at 38.5215, -122.9160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Forestville scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Forestville
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.6
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.6% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,858 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Forestville
5.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Forestville
5.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Forestville
4.3
How Forestville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 39
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.5%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
7.9%Food insecurity
7.3%SNAP enrollment
5.2%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
26.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Forestville
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.9/10. Food insecurity runs 7.9% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Sonoma County average of 6.9.
SNAP participation runs 7.3% against 15.2% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 78% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Average gross rent is $1,858, close to the Forestville average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06097153705
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06097153705?
Census tract 06097153705 in Forestville scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06097153705?
Median gross rent is $1,858/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06097153705?
6.6% of residents in tract 06097153705 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,424.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06097153705?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 39th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 34th, minority 41th, housing 69th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06097153705 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06097153705 compare to Forestville overall?
Tract 06097153705 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Forestville at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Forestville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Forestville
Top eight tracts in Forestville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.