Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Hills at Bethel Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 10003011203 · New Castle County, DE · pop 4,740 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 10003011203 in the Hills at Bethel area of New Castle County, DE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 58%
Tract context
Occupied units2,117
Renter share41.9%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$75,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
67
th percentile
Elevated
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Castle County and the region
Centroid at 39.8257, -75.4826 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hills at Bethel scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
3.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.9
State political climate
Delaware legislature & governorship
3.2
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,272 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
State baseline
3.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Hills at Bethel compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 67%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 761Total filings over 9 yrs
- 10.00%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.1%Peak (2010)
- 43Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 59% over the past 9 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 814Total filings 2020-21
- 10.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 7.4Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.42×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tampa, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.7%Housing insecurity
- 8.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.6%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 8.1%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 29.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hills at Bethel
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the New Castle County average of 44.1%. What pushes it up most is court filing pressure at 9.4/10.
Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 2.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.6/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 761 filings here across 9 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2010, when 12.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 10.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10. It tracks the New Castle County average of 4.2 closely.
Average gross rent runs $1,272 a month. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $75,250. 42% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 10003011203
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 10003011203?
Census tract 10003011203 in the Hills at Bethel neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 10003011203?
Median gross rent is $1,272/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 10003011203?
10.2% of residents in tract 10003011203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,740.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 10003011203?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 55th, minority 69th, housing 67th.
Q5
Is tract 10003011203 considered part of Hills at Bethel?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 10003011203 fall within Hills at Bethel (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 10003011203?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 761 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 10003011203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.00% of renter households, peaking at 12.1% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 10003011203 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.42× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
What share of households in tract 10003011203 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
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