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Neighborhood · Washington, DC

Downtown East Eviction Risk: High

1 census tracts · pop 2,296 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.4/10 · range 8.4–8.4

Downtown East maps to a single census tract in Washington, DC, population 2,296. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8.4/10, placing it in the High tier. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.5/10.

Against a Washington baseline of 28.6%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. 86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 9.5/10. Average gross rent is $2,600, 33% above the Washington average of $1,954.

Disability prevalence reaches 16.1% against a 31.5% national average, which raises the odds a reasonable-accommodation request accompanies any dispute. Severe burden reaches 13%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 558 evictions logged in this tract.

The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. SNAP participation is 6.3% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2006, when filings touched 11.4% of renter households.

One tract means one number: 8.4/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.4
High
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown East vs Washington How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
41.0% +43%
Washington: 28.6%
Average gross rent
$2,600 +33%
Washington: $1,954
Average HH income
$129,901 +22%
Washington: $106,287
Poverty rate
13.9% -4%
Washington: 14.5%
Renter share
86.1% +47%
Washington: 58.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown East and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 8.4–8.4

Why Downtown East scores 8.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 9.3–9.3 across tracts
9.3
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Rent control risk
41% of income on rent · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
86% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
13.9% below poverty line · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts
3.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

Downtown East vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown East score vs. parent city, state, U.S.8.4Downtown EastNeighborhood9.1Parent cityhost city9.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown East

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
11001005900 8.4 2,296 41% $2,600
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 24

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 29%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 0%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown East

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 558Total filings (sum)
  • 6.39%Avg annual filing rate
  • 11.4%Peak year (2006)
  • 4.75%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown East

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown East

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown East?

Downtown East scores 8.4/10 (High tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown East compare to Washington overall?

Downtown East scores 0.7 points lower than Washington overall (9.1/10). Renters spend 41% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $2,600 vs $1,954.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown East?

Average gross rent in Downtown East is $2,600/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown East residents are renters?

86% of Downtown East households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Washington). The neighborhood has 2,296 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown East a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown East sits in the 24th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown East for landlords?

Downtown East carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.4/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Washington as a whole (9.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown East?

Downtown East has 2,403 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (61.9%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14%), Hispanic / Latino (9.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown East

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Washington

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown East.

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