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Neighborhood · Ranked #1,107 of 84,120 nationally

Mayfair Eviction Risk: High , Washington

Tract 11001009602 · District of Columbia, DC · pop 5,144 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 11001009602 (Mayfair in Washington, District of Columbia) comes in at 8.3/10, the High tier. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 68% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,325 monthly, set against $34,476 in average yearly household income, roughly 46% of income at the averages. Renters make up 85% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.5
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 27% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,233
Renter share84.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate40.2%
Median income$34,476

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Mayfair
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 206 tracts In Washington
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 206 tracts In District of Columbia
Very High
Within state
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 206 tracts In District of Columbia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Washington and the region

Centroid at 38.9036, -76.9524 · click any tract to drill in

Why Mayfair scores 8.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
9.3
State political climate
District of Columbia legislature & governorship
9.5
Economic stress
40.2% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,325 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Washington
9.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
9.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Washington
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Washington
9.5

How Mayfair compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Mayfair risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.58.5This tracttract 009602Washington: 9.19.1Washingtonparent cityCounty: 6.06.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,429Total filings over 7 yrs
  • 60.53%Avg annual filing rate
  • 105.1%Peak (2008)
  • 659Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 110010096022006: 1,041 filings (84.70/100 renter HHs)2007: 1,112 filings (90.48/100 renter HHs)2008: 1,292 filings (105.13/100 renter HHs)2009: 663 filings (53.95/100 renter HHs)2010: 344 filings (25.15/100 renter HHs)2011: 318 filings (21.47/100 renter HHs)2018: 659 filings (42.82/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 37% over the past 7 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Mayfair. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Mayfair

What moves this score most is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Washington eviction laws, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the District of Columbia County average of 7.4 and above the District of Columbia statewide average of 7.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 5,429 eviction filings here over 7 tracked years, with about 60.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 105.1% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: Washington eviction laws sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 11001009602

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 11001009602?

Census tract 11001009602 in the Mayfair neighborhood scores 8.5/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 11001009602?

Median gross rent is $1,325/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 11001009602?

40.2% of residents in tract 11001009602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,144.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 11001009602?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 70th, minority 98th, housing 72th.
Q5

Is tract 11001009602 considered part of Mayfair?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 11001009602 fall within Mayfair (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 11001009602?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 5,429 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 11001009602 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 60.53% of renter households, peaking at 105.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 11001009602 struggle to pay rent?

About 38.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 31.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 11001009602 compare to Washington overall?

Tract 11001009602 scores 8.5/10, lower than the parent city of Washington at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Washington eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Washington

Top eight tracts in Washington ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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