Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Atlantic Beach Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12031013902 · Duval, FL · pop 4,935
Eviction risk in Atlantic Beach centers on tract 12031013902, which scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 4,935 residents. That is riskier than about 54% of US census tracts.
36% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,420 a month against an average household income of $71,710 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. Renters make up 39% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units1,979
Renter share39.4%
SVI overall0.47
Poverty rate15.6%
Median income$71,710
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
33
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
National
37
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Atlantic Beach and the region
Centroid at 30.3331, -81.4229 · click any tract to drill in
Why Atlantic Beach scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.6% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$1,420 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlantic Beach
5.7
How Atlantic Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 47
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 75%Socioeconomic
- 19%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 948Total filings over 10 yrs
- 11.33%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.9%Peak (2007)
- 70Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 192Total filings 2020-21
- 2.5Avg monthly (observed)
- 5.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.44×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Atlantic Beach
The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Atlantic Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Duval County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is White and Black and ranks around the 47th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.44x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, well below the pre-pandemic norm, the signature of an eviction moratorium at work.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031013902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031013902?
Census tract 12031013902 in Atlantic Beach scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031013902?
Median gross rent is $1,420/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 36% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031013902?
15.6% of residents in tract 12031013902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,935.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031013902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 47th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 19th, minority 49th, housing 28th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031013902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 948 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031013902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.33% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12031013902 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.44× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12031013902 compare to Atlantic Beach overall?
Tract 12031013902 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Atlantic Beach at 2.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlantic Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Atlantic Beach
Top eight tracts in Atlantic Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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