Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #53,267 of 84,120 nationally
Avondale Eviction Risk: Lower , Jacksonville
Tract 12031002502 · Duval, FL · pop 3,783 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 12031002502 belongs to Avondale in Jacksonville, Florida. It is home to 3,783 residents and scores 4.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.
About 51% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,242 a month while the average household earns $68,359 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 31% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
3.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units1,755
Renter share31.0%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate3.9%
Median income$68,359
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
29
th percentile
Low
Within county
34
th percentile
Low
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Jacksonville and the region
Centroid at 30.3133, -81.7226 · click any tract to drill in
Why Avondale scores 3.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,242 rent vs county FMR
2.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Jacksonville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Jacksonville
2.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Jacksonville
3.0
How Avondale compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 35
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 56%Socioeconomic
- 24%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 25%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 44%Grade B
- 36%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 311Total filings over 10 yrs
- 5.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2007)
- 25Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 31% over the past 10 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 175Total filings 2020-21
- 2.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.06×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Jacksonville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Avondale. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Avondale
The score leans hardest on housing court bias at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Duval County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12031002502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12031002502?
Census tract 12031002502 in the Avondale neighborhood scores 3.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12031002502?
Median gross rent is $1,242/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12031002502?
3.9% of residents in tract 12031002502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,783.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12031002502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 56th, household 24th, minority 33th, housing 25th.
Q5
Is tract 12031002502 considered part of Avondale?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12031002502 fall within Avondale (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12031002502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 311 eviction filings across 10 validated years in tract 12031002502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.48% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12031002502 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.06× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Jacksonville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12031002502 compare to Jacksonville overall?
Tract 12031002502 scores 3.3/10, higher than the parent city of Jacksonville at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Jacksonville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12031002502 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Jacksonville
Top eight tracts in Jacksonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002801
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031002802
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
LaVilla
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Tallulah-North Shore
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12031011000
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Azalea Terrace
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
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