Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Ember Ridge Eviction Risk: Moderate , West Pensacola
Tract 12033002803 · Escambia, FL · pop 2,835 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 12033002803 sits in the Ember Ridge area of West Pensacola, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.7/10. 66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Escambia County average of 47.1%.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 35%
Tract context
Occupied units1,255
Renter share65.3%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate19.9%
Median income$39,475
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across West Pensacola and the region
Centroid at 30.4117, -87.2830 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ember Ridge scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from West Pensacola
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
19.9% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from West Pensacola
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from West Pensacola
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from West Pensacola
8.8
How Ember Ridge compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 95%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 68%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 171Total filings over 4 yrs
- 7.96%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2007)
- 46Filings in 2010 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 18% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ember Ridge. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ember Ridge
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.8/10.
Set annual rent against average income of $39,475 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.8/10. 65% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Against the Escambia County average of 4.2, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.5 points.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Court records carry 171 eviction filings across 4 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2007, when 9.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 8.0% of renter households face a filing.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12033002803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12033002803?
Census tract 12033002803 in the Ember Ridge neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12033002803?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12033002803?
19.9% of residents in tract 12033002803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,835.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12033002803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 50th, minority 68th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12033002803 considered part of Ember Ridge?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12033002803 fall within Ember Ridge (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12033002803?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 171 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12033002803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.96% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12033002803 compare to West Pensacola overall?
Tract 12033002803 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of West Pensacola at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from West Pensacola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in West Pensacola
Top eight tracts in West Pensacola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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