Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Vedado Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tampa
Tract 12057003500 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,331 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
12057003500 is a census tract in the Vedado area of Tampa, FL. It scores 5.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,331 residents. The severe-burden share is 45%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 34%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,009
Renter share51.8%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate38.2%
Median income$28,942
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
82
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
90
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tampa and the region
Centroid at 27.9688, -82.4269 · click any tract to drill in
Why Vedado scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tampa
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
38.2% poverty · this tract
9.6
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tampa
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tampa
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tampa
3.5
How Vedado compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 89%Racial/ethnic minority
- 63%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 100%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 470Total filings over 11 yrs
- 10.22%Avg annual filing rate
- 16.5%Peak (2001)
- 57Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 21% over the past 11 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 236Total filings 2020-21
- 3.2Avg monthly (observed)
- 4.5Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.72×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Vedado
Annualized rent equals 54% of average household income of $28,942, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 9.6/10.
Cost burden runs 65% here against 51.5% across Hillsborough County. The poverty rate is 38%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,310, 23% below the Tampa average. It sits 1.2 points above the Hillsborough County average of 4.2.
Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 470 evictions over 11 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2001 at 16.5% of renter households.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 10.2% of renter households face a filing.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057003500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057003500?
Census tract 12057003500 in the Vedado neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057003500?
Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057003500?
38.2% of residents in tract 12057003500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,331.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057003500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 57th, minority 89th, housing 63th.
Q5
Is tract 12057003500 considered part of Vedado?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057003500 fall within Vedado (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057003500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 470 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 12057003500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.22% of renter households, peaking at 16.5% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057003500 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.72× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057003500 compare to Tampa overall?
Tract 12057003500 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Tampa at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tampa eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 12057003500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 100% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tampa
Top eight tracts in Tampa ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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Alameda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Fiorito
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Riverside
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Armenia Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Miranda
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Altamira Heights
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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