Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
River Chase Eviction Risk: Lower , Westchase
Tract 12057011519 · Hillsborough, FL · pop 2,030 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
12057011519 is a census tract in the River Chase area of Westchase, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,030 residents. 27% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Hillsborough County average of 51.5%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 6%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units783
Renter share8.0%
SVI overall0.03
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$144,931
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Westchase and the region
Centroid at 28.0496, -82.6398 · click any tract to drill in
Why River Chase scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Westchase
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,848 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Westchase
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Westchase
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Westchase
4.5
How River Chase compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 3
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 23%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 19Total filings over 7 yrs
- 6.75%Avg annual filing rate
- 26.2%Peak (2003)
- 1Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 2Total filings 2020-21
- 0.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.1Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.22×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in River Chase
The clearest offset is economic stress at 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.5/10.
It sits 1.2 points below the Hillsborough County average of 4.2. Court records carry 19 eviction filings across 7 observed years.
Average gross rent is $1,848, 15% below the Westchase average. The worst year on record was 2003, when 26.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 6.8% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
Social vulnerability reads 1.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $144,931, annual rent is just 15%.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12057011519
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12057011519?
Census tract 12057011519 in the River Chase neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12057011519?
Median gross rent is $1,848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 27% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12057011519?
2.5% of residents in tract 12057011519 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,030.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12057011519?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 3th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 23th, minority 42th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 12057011519 considered part of River Chase?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12057011519 fall within River Chase (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12057011519?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 19 eviction filings across 7 validated years in tract 12057011519 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.75% of renter households, peaking at 26.2% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12057011519 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.22× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12057011519 compare to Westchase overall?
Tract 12057011519 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Westchase at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Westchase; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Westchase
Top eight tracts in Westchase ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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