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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Bay Harbor Islands Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12086003801 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 5,897 · 77% of tract blocks fall in Bay Harbor Islands

12086003801 is a census tract in Bay Harbor Islands, FL. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,897 residents. Cost burden runs 76% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 12% Owners 51%
Tract context
Occupied units2,200
Renter share49.1%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$84,357

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay Harbor Islands
Moderate
Within county
52 th percentile
Rank, 52nd percentileLowHigh
#342 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Moderate
Within state
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#1,664 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bay Harbor Islands and the region

Centroid at 25.8779, -80.1373 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay Harbor Islands scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bay Harbor Islands
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$2,348 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Harbor Islands
9.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Harbor Islands
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Harbor Islands
6.7

How Bay Harbor Islands compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay Harbor Islands risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.54.5This tracttract 003801Bay Harbor Islands: 5.65.6Bay Harbor Islandsparent cityCounty: 4.64.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.14.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 42Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.9%Peak (2016)
  • 24Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 108Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.5Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.69×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2020-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2021-05-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2021-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-08-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2022-01-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2022-02-01: 4 filings (1.84× baseline)2022-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2022-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2022-06-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2022-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2022-09-01: 8 filings (4.00× baseline)2022-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (1.43× baseline)2022-12-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (2.25× baseline)2023-02-01: 4 filings (1.84× baseline)2023-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-04-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-05-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2023-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2023-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-01-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-06-01: 3 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2024-09-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-11-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-12-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2025-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-03-01: 2 filings (1.33× baseline)2025-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-06-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-07-01: 1 filings (0.55× baseline)2025-08-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2025-09-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 1 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bay Harbor Islands

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.1/10.

Annualized rent equals 33% of average household income of $84,357, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 42 evictions over 2 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2016 at 1.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086003801

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003801?

Census tract 12086003801 in Bay Harbor Islands scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086003801?

Median gross rent is $2,348/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003801?

7.1% of residents in tract 12086003801 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,897.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003801?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 72th, minority 74th, housing 83th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086003801?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 42 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086003801 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086003801 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.69× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086003801 compare to Bay Harbor Islands overall?

Tract 12086003801 scores 4.5/10, lower than the parent city of Bay Harbor Islands at 5.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Harbor Islands; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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