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Census Tract · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Lockhart Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12095015106 · Orange, FL · pop 7,980 · 39% of tract blocks fall in Lockhart

Lockhart is where census tract 12095015106 sits, home to 7,980 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.9/10. It lands near the 72nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

51% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,359 a month while the average household earns $50,909 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 24% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 12% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,340
Renter share24.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate15.4%
Median income$50,909

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Lockhart
Moderate
Within county
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 267 tracts In Orange
High
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
59 th percentile
Rank, 59th percentileLowHigh
#34,332 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lockhart and the region

Centroid at 28.6186, -81.4590 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lockhart scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lockhart
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
15.4% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,359 rent vs county FMR
1.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lockhart
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lockhart
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lockhart
7.9

How Lockhart compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lockhart risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 015106Lockhart: 2.72.7Lockhartparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 428Total filings over 9 yrs
  • 9.95%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.0%Peak (2007)
  • 78Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120950151062000: 17 filings (5.45/100 renter HHs)2001: 18 filings (5.77/100 renter HHs)2002: 25 filings (8.01/100 renter HHs)2003: 33 filings (10.58/100 renter HHs)2004: 32 filings (10.26/100 renter HHs)2005: 30 filings (5.18/100 renter HHs)2006: 50 filings (8.64/100 renter HHs)2007: 145 filings (25.04/100 renter HHs)2016: 78 filings (10.60/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 359% over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lockhart

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lockhart, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 428 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 9.9% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 25.0% of renter households in 2007.

The tract is predominantly Black and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12095015106

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095015106?

Census tract 12095015106 in Lockhart scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12095015106?

Median gross rent is $1,359/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12095015106?

15.4% of residents in tract 12095015106 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,980.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12095015106?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 73th, minority 89th, housing 65th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095015106?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 428 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095015106 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.95% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12095015106 compare to Lockhart overall?

Tract 12095015106 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Lockhart at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lockhart; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lockhart

Top eight tracts in Lockhart ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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