Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,006 of 84,120 nationally
Morningside Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Ridge
Tract 12095016902 · Orange, FL · pop 6,311 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12095016902 (the Morningside Park area of Oak Ridge, Florida) comes in at 6.1/10, the Elevated tier. It lands near the 78th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 55% of renter households, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,434 a month against an average household income of $50,907 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 52% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1-10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 29%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,856
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$50,907
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
94
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Ridge and the region
Centroid at 28.4584, -81.4148 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morningside Park scores 4.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Ridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,434 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Ridge
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Ridge
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Ridge
8.4
How Morningside Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 87%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.
Historic baseline (2000-2018)
- 289Total filings over 9 yrs
- 4.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.8%Peak (2007)
- 39Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 9 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morningside Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morningside Park
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Oak Ridge, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Orange County average of 5.2 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 289 eviction filings here over 9 tracked years, with about 4.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.8% of renter households in 2007.
The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 96th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095016902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095016902?
Census tract 12095016902 in the Morningside Park neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095016902?
Median gross rent is $1,434/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095016902?
20.5% of residents in tract 12095016902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,311.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095016902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 57th, minority 87th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12095016902 considered part of Morningside Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095016902 fall within Morningside Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12095016902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 289 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12095016902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.12% of renter households, peaking at 6.8% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12095016902 compare to Oak Ridge overall?
Tract 12095016902 scores 4.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Oak Ridge at 4.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Ridge
Top eight tracts in Oak Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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