Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Morningside Park Eviction Risk: Moderate , Oak Ridge
Tract 12095014201 · Orange, FL · pop 5,750 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 12095014201 in the Morningside Park area of Sky Lake, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,750 residents. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20%
Stable renters 15%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,831
Renter share34.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate9.3%
Median income$65,181
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Ridge and the region
Centroid at 28.4579, -81.3936 · click any tract to drill in
Why Morningside Park scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Ridge
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.3% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$1,506 rent vs county FMR
2.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Ridge
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Ridge
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Ridge
6.7
How Morningside Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 87%Household composition
- 85%Racial/ethnic minority
- 52%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Morningside Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Morningside Park
Well under the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.4/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 27.8% against 11.3% nationally. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The severe-burden share is 17%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $1,506, 23% below the Sky Lake average.
Cost burden runs 58% here against 51.4% across Orange County. Nationally it ranks #47,371 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Social vulnerability reads 8.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Orange County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $65,181.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12095014201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12095014201?
Census tract 12095014201 in the Morningside Park neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12095014201?
Median gross rent is $1,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12095014201?
9.3% of residents in tract 12095014201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,750.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12095014201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 87th, minority 85th, housing 52th.
Q5
Is tract 12095014201 considered part of Morningside Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12095014201 fall within Morningside Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12095014201 compare to Oak Ridge overall?
Tract 12095014201 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Oak Ridge at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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