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Census Tract · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Elfers Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12101031404 · Pasco, FL · pop 3,351 · 93% of tract blocks fall in Elfers

How risky is Elfers in Pasco County for landlords? Census tract 12101031404 scores 5.4/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 54% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

55% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,269 a month against an average household income of $54,764 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 28% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 13% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,502
Renter share28.2%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate18.0%
Median income$54,764

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Elfers
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#29 of 130 tracts In Pasco
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#1,298 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#35,899 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Elfers and the region

Centroid at 28.2234, -82.7150 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elfers scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Elfers
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.0% poverty · this tract
4.5
Supply constraint
$1,269 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elfers
6.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elfers
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elfers
6.7

How Elfers compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elfers risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 031404Elfers: 2.22.2Elfersparent cityCounty: 3.43.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 301Total filings over 13 yrs
  • 7.71%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.6%Peak (2006)
  • 22Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2012
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121010314042000: 31 filings (12.49/100 renter HHs)2001: 25 filings (10.07/100 renter HHs)2002: 18 filings (7.25/100 renter HHs)2003: 19 filings (7.65/100 renter HHs)2004: 27 filings (10.88/100 renter HHs)2005: 17 filings (5.47/100 renter HHs)2006: 33 filings (10.63/100 renter HHs)2007: 30 filings (9.66/100 renter HHs)2008: 22 filings (7.08/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (6.76/100 renter HHs)2010: 18 filings (4.28/100 renter HHs)2011: 18 filings (3.58/100 renter HHs)2012: 22 filings (4.37/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 13 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elfers

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Elfers, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pasco County average of 4.8 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 301 eviction filings here over 13 tracked years, with about 7.7% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.6% of renter households in 2006.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12101031404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101031404?

Census tract 12101031404 in Elfers scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12101031404?

Median gross rent is $1,269/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12101031404?

18.0% of residents in tract 12101031404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,351.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12101031404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 51th, minority 43th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101031404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 301 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12101031404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.71% of renter households, peaking at 10.6% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12101031404 compare to Elfers overall?

Tract 12101031404 scores 4.3/10, higher than the parent city of Elfers at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elfers; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Elfers

Top eight tracts in Elfers ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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