Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Watergrass Eviction Risk: Lower , Pasadena Hills
Tract 12101032105 ·
Pasco, FL · pop 9,941 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 12101032105 in the Watergrass area of Pasadena Hills, FL reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 9,941. At $2,640 a month, rents run 126% over what the rest of Pasadena Hills commands.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%Stable renters 6%Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units3,284
Renter share13.9%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate10.8%
Median income$115,302
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Watergrass
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#3 of 3 tracts In Pasadena Hills
Very Low
Within county
4th percentile
#125 of 130 tracts In Pasco
Very Low
Within state
28th percentile
#3,704 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pasadena Hills and the region
Centroid at 28.2669, -82.2680 · click any tract to drill in
Why Watergrass scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Pasadena Hills
4.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.8% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,640 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Pasadena Hills
2.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Pasadena Hills
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Pasadena Hills
3.0
How Watergrass compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
41%Socioeconomic
41%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
30%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
138Total filings over 9 yrs
34.18%Avg annual filing rate
129.2%Peak (2009)
18Filings in 2012 (latest validated)
Filings by year2000 to 2012
Filings climbed 1,700% over the past 13 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Watergrass
The voucher gap is 33.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Cost burden runs 59% here against 48.0% across Pasco County.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, supply constraint reads 8.3/10. 17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Against the Pasco County average of 4.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 138 filings here across 9 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2009 at 129.2% of renter households. In a typical year about 34.2% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 14% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12101032105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12101032105?
Census tract 12101032105 in the Watergrass neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12101032105?
Median gross rent is $2,640/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12101032105?
10.8% of residents in tract 12101032105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 9,941.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12101032105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 41th, minority 72th, housing 30th.
Q5
Is tract 12101032105 considered part of Watergrass?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12101032105 fall within Watergrass (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12101032105?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 138 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 12101032105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 34.18% of renter households, peaking at 129.2% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12101032105 compare to Pasadena Hills overall?
Tract 12101032105 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Pasadena Hills at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Pasadena Hills; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Pasadena Hills
Top eight tracts in Pasadena Hills ranked by composite eviction-risk score.