Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #56,048 of 84,120 nationally
Oldsmar Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103027327 · Pinellas, FL · pop 5,164 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
12103027327 is a census tract in the Oldsmar area of Oldsmar, FL. It scores 3.6/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,164 residents. 26% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,822
Renter share28.3%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate12.4%
Median income$85,000
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oldsmar and the region
Centroid at 28.0490, -82.6665 · click any tract to drill in
Why Oldsmar scores 3.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oldsmar
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.4% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,322 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oldsmar
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oldsmar
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oldsmar
7.0
How Oldsmar compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 55%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 49%Racial/ethnic minority
- 60%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 295Total filings over 18 yrs
- 3.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.7%Peak (2004)
- 6Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 54% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 44Total filings 2020-21
- 0.6Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.7Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.86×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Oldsmar
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.5/10.
Against Pinellas County at 53.4%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 295 filings here across 18 tracked years. The worst year on record was 2004, when 9.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 3.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.3/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027327
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027327?
Census tract 12103027327 in the Oldsmar neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027327?
Median gross rent is $1,322/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027327?
12.4% of residents in tract 12103027327 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,164.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027327?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 55th, household 90th, minority 49th, housing 60th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027327 considered part of Oldsmar?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027327 fall within Oldsmar (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027327?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 295 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027327 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.25% of renter households, peaking at 9.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027327 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.86× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027327 compare to Oldsmar overall?
Tract 12103027327 scores 3.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Oldsmar at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oldsmar; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oldsmar
Top eight tracts in Oldsmar ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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