Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,002 of 84,120 nationally
Captain’s Cove Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12103025123 · Pinellas, FL · pop 1,773 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12103025123 (the Captain's Cove neighborhood of Pinellas, Florida) comes in at $1/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 12% of US census tracts.
33% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a high level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,125 monthly, set against $76,382 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 7% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 94%
Tract context
Occupied units631
Renter share6.7%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$76,382
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
31
th percentile
Low
National
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Pinellas and the region
Centroid at 27.8595, -82.8276 · click any tract to drill in
Why Captain’s Cove scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,125 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Captain’s Cove compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 23%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 13 yrs
- 2.68%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.2%Peak (2002)
- 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 100% over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 10Total filings 2020-21
- 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
- 0.2Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.83×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Captain’s Cove. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Captain’s Cove
The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by Florida eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pinellas County average of 4.8 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 0.83x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, a little under the pre-pandemic norm.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103025123
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103025123?
Census tract 12103025123 in the Captain’s Cove neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103025123?
Median gross rent is $2,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103025123?
3.4% of residents in tract 12103025123 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103025123?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 20th, minority 27th, housing 23th.
Q5
Is tract 12103025123 considered part of Captain’s Cove?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103025123 fall within Captain’s Cove (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103025123?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 13 validated years in tract 12103025123 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.68% of renter households, peaking at 6.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103025123 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.83× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
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