Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
North Lake of Tarpon Springs Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12103027401 · Pinellas, FL · pop 2,433 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 12103027401 covers part of the North Lake of Tarpon Springs area of Tarpon Springs, FL, and scores 4/10 on landlord eviction risk. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,318
Renter share30.0%
SVI overall0.34
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$62,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tarpon Springs and the region
Centroid at 28.1530, -82.7417 · click any tract to drill in
Why North Lake of Tarpon Springs scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,303 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tarpon Springs
6.7
How North Lake of Tarpon Springs compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 34
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 42%Socioeconomic
- 20%Household composition
- 33%Racial/ethnic minority
- 45%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 380Total filings over 18 yrs
- 5.36%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2002)
- 15Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 18 months.
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 94Total filings 2020-21
- 1.3Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.6Pre-pandemic baseline
- 0.78×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Tacoma, WA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in North Lake of Tarpon Springs
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.6/10.
The filing record is not thin: 380 evictions over 18 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 8.4% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.1/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
52% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Pinellas County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $1,303, close to the Tarpon Springs average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $62,250.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12103027401
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12103027401?
Census tract 12103027401 in the North Lake of Tarpon Springs neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12103027401?
Median gross rent is $1,303/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12103027401?
12.5% of residents in tract 12103027401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,433.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12103027401?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 34th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 42th, household 20th, minority 33th, housing 45th.
Q5
Is tract 12103027401 considered part of North Lake of Tarpon Springs?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12103027401 fall within North Lake of Tarpon Springs (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12103027401?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 380 eviction filings across 18 validated years in tract 12103027401 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.36% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
Did eviction filings in tract 12103027401 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 0.78× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tacoma, WA), 2020-2021.
Q8
How does tract 12103027401 compare to Tarpon Springs overall?
Tract 12103027401 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Tarpon Springs at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tarpon Springs; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tarpon Springs
Top eight tracts in Tarpon Springs ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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