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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Alfred Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012410 · Polk, FL · pop 3,100 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Lake Alfred

Census tract 12105012410 runs through Lake Alfred in Polk County. With 3,100 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #32,231 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 73% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 29% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,454 a month while the average household earns $80,393 a year, roughly 22% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 3% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units967
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate11.8%
Median income$80,393

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lake Alfred
Very High
Within county
16 th percentile
Rank, 16th percentileLowHigh
#147 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#3,192 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Alfred and the region

Centroid at 28.1352, -81.7034 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Alfred scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Alfred
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
11.8% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,454 rent vs county FMR
5.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Alfred
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Alfred
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Alfred
6.5

How Lake Alfred compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Alfred risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 012410Lake Alfred: 2.32.3Lake Alfredparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 155Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.60%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.9%Peak (2007)
  • 18Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050124102000: 2 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2001: 1 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2002: 3 filings (3.37/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2004: 2 filings (2.25/100 renter HHs)2005: 12 filings (5.23/100 renter HHs)2007: 25 filings (10.89/100 renter HHs)2008: 19 filings (8.27/100 renter HHs)2009: 12 filings (5.23/100 renter HHs)2010: 14 filings (7.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 10 filings (4.83/100 renter HHs)2012: 8 filings (3.86/100 renter HHs)2013: 7 filings (3.38/100 renter HHs)2014: 3 filings (1.45/100 renter HHs)2015: 5 filings (2.42/100 renter HHs)2016: 12 filings (5.61/100 renter HHs)2017: 18 filings (8.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 800% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Alfred

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Alfred, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 155 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 4.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.9% of renter households in 2007.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012410

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012410?

Census tract 12105012410 in Lake Alfred scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012410?

Median gross rent is $1,454/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 73% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012410?

11.8% of residents in tract 12105012410 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012410?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 71th, minority 72th, housing 35th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012410?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 155 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012410 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.60% of renter households, peaking at 10.9% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012410 compare to Lake Alfred overall?

Tract 12105012410 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Alfred at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Alfred; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Alfred

Top eight tracts in Lake Alfred ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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