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Census Tract · Ranked #60,063 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Alfred Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12105012900 · Polk, FL · pop 6,668 · 87% of tract blocks fall in Lake Alfred

Lake Alfred anchors census tract 12105012900, which lands at 5.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #38,700 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

72% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 45% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,381 a month while the average household earns $64,184 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. Renters make up 23% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16% Stable renters 6% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units2,723
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$64,184

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Lake Alfred
Very Low
Within county
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#142 of 174 tracts In Polk
Very Low
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#3,192 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#60,063 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lake Alfred and the region

Centroid at 28.0903, -81.7440 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Alfred scores 2.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lake Alfred
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,381 rent vs county FMR
5.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Alfred
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Alfred
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Alfred
6.5

How Lake Alfred compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Alfred risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.92.9This tracttract 012900Lake Alfred: 2.32.3Lake Alfredparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 518Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 4.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2013)
  • 22Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121050129002000: 31 filings (7.01/100 renter HHs)2001: 34 filings (7.68/100 renter HHs)2002: 20 filings (4.52/100 renter HHs)2003: 23 filings (5.20/100 renter HHs)2004: 26 filings (5.88/100 renter HHs)2005: 26 filings (4.21/100 renter HHs)2007: 40 filings (6.48/100 renter HHs)2008: 28 filings (4.54/100 renter HHs)2009: 35 filings (5.67/100 renter HHs)2010: 32 filings (5.25/100 renter HHs)2011: 26 filings (3.08/100 renter HHs)2012: 37 filings (4.38/100 renter HHs)2013: 43 filings (5.09/100 renter HHs)2014: 33 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2015: 32 filings (3.79/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (4.69/100 renter HHs)2017: 22 filings (3.44/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Alfred

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 8.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lake Alfred, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Polk County average of 5.0 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 518 eviction filings here over 17 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.1% of renter households in 2013.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012900?

Census tract 12105012900 in Lake Alfred scores 2.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012900?

Median gross rent is $1,381/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 72% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012900?

7.6% of residents in tract 12105012900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,668.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 84th, minority 64th, housing 82th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012900?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 518 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12105012900 compare to Lake Alfred overall?

Tract 12105012900 scores 2.9/10, higher than the parent city of Lake Alfred at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Alfred; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lake Alfred

Top eight tracts in Lake Alfred ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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