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Census Tract · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 12105012203 Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12105012203 · Polk, FL · pop 3,389

Tract 12105012203 sits in Polk County, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,389 residents. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 12% Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,122
Renter share23.0%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate21.6%
Median income$68,594

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#62 of 174 tracts In Polk
Elevated
Within state
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
National
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#45,786 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Polk and the region

Centroid at 28.1433, -81.9648 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 12105012203 scores 4.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
21.6% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,117 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 12105012203 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 12105012203 risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.2This tracttract 0122033.9Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 349Total filings over 17 yrs
  • 18.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 43.2%Peak (2007)
  • 12Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2000 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12105012203
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 17 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 12105012203

The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, local political climate reads 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

The poverty rate is 22%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Adults with no health insurance runs 20.5% against 11.3% nationally.

Court records carry 349 eviction filings across 17 observed years. The worst year on record was 2007, when 43.2% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 18.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 8.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Polk County average of 3.9 closely.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 12105012203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12105012203?

Census tract 12105012203 in Polk scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12105012203?

Median gross rent is $1,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12105012203?

21.6% of residents in tract 12105012203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,389.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12105012203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 91th, minority 60th, housing 54th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12105012203?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 349 eviction filings across 17 validated years in tract 12105012203 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.68% of renter households, peaking at 43.2% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
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