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Census Tract · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally

Venice Gardens Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002504 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,912

12115002504 is a census tract in Venice Gardens, FL. It scores 3.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,912. 67% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 12% Stable renters 6% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units1,204
Renter share17.6%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate7.6%
Median income$78,043

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Venice Gardens
Very High
Within county
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#71 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Moderate
Within state
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#3,121 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Low
National
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#59,654 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Venice Gardens and the region

Centroid at 27.0751, -82.4168 · click any tract to drill in

Why Venice Gardens scores 3.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Venice Gardens
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.6% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,511 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Venice Gardens
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Venice Gardens
4.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Venice Gardens
6.0

How Venice Gardens compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Venice Gardens risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.4This tracttract 0025043.4Venice Gardensparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 43

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 3.43%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.3%Peak (2002)
  • 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115002504
Filings dropped 54% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Venice Gardens

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10.

On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.9/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 filings here across 5 tracked years.

Filings peaked in 2002 at 7.3% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,511, 8% above the Venice Gardens average.

In a typical year about 3.4% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 29th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 18% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 4.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002504?

Census tract 12115002504 in Venice Gardens scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002504?

Median gross rent is $1,511/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 67% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002504?

7.6% of residents in tract 12115002504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,912.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 84th, minority 19th, housing 20th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.43% of renter households, peaking at 7.3% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002504 compare to Venice Gardens overall?

Tract 12115002504 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Venice Gardens at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Venice Gardens; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Venice Gardens

Top eight tracts in Venice Gardens ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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