Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Fern Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12117022006 · Seminole, FL · pop 3,381 · 94% of tract blocks fall in Fern Park

12117022006 is a census tract in Fern Park, FL. It scores 4.8/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,381. Severe burden reaches 52%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 15% Owners 50%

Tract context

Occupied units1,656

Renter share49.4%

SVI overall0.78

Poverty rate9.6%

Median income$60,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Fern Park and the region

Centroid at 28.6495, -81.3471 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fern Park scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Fern Park

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.1

State political climate

Florida legislature & governorship

1.5

Economic stress

9.6% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$1,481 rent vs county FMR

2.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Fern Park

9.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

1.7

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Fern Park

8.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Fern Park

7.2

How Fern Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 78

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

68%Socioeconomic
73%Household composition
55%Racial/ethnic minority
82%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fern Park

70% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Seminole County average of 52.5%. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.3/10.

Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.5/10.

At $1,481 a month, rents run 8% under what the rest of Fern Park commands. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

It tracks the Seminole County average of 4.2 closely. Annual rent works out to 30% of average household income of $60,179.

49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12117022006

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12117022006?

Census tract 12117022006 in Fern Park scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 12117022006?

Median gross rent is $1,481/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 70% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 12117022006?

9.6% of residents in tract 12117022006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 12117022006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 78th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 73th, minority 55th, housing 82th.

How does tract 12117022006 compare to Fern Park overall?

Tract 12117022006 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Fern Park at 4.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fern Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fern Park

Top eight tracts in Fern Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.