Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Lymestone Ranch Eviction Risk: Lower , New Smyrna Beach
Tract 12127082902 · Volusia, FL · pop 6,316 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
12127082902 is a census tract in the Lymestone Ranch area of New Smyrna Beach, FL. It scores 3.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,316. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 69%
Tract context
Occupied units2,740
Renter share30.7%
SVI overall0.52
Poverty rate7.4%
Median income$71,250
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
38
th percentile
Low
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Smyrna Beach and the region
Centroid at 28.9942, -80.9545 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lymestone Ranch scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.4% poverty · this tract
1.9
Supply constraint
$1,559 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
6.4
How Lymestone Ranch compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 52
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 71%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 11%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 98Total filings over 3 yrs
- 3.88%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.5%Peak (2016)
- 31Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lymestone Ranch
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Volusia County average of 49.8%. Court records carry 98 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
The worst year on record was 2016, when 4.5% of renter households were served. At $1,559 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of New Smyrna Beach commands.
In a typical year about 3.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 25% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.7/10. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127082902
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127082902?
Census tract 12127082902 in the Lymestone Ranch neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127082902?
Median gross rent is $1,559/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127082902?
7.4% of residents in tract 12127082902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,316.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127082902?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 52th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 15th, minority 11th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 12127082902 considered part of Lymestone Ranch?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127082902 fall within Lymestone Ranch (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127082902?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 98 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127082902 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.88% of renter households, peaking at 4.5% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12127082902 compare to New Smyrna Beach overall?
Tract 12127082902 scores 3.2/10, lower than the parent city of New Smyrna Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Smyrna Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Smyrna Beach
Top eight tracts in New Smyrna Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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