Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Arlington Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021012500 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,930 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
13021012500 is a census tract in the Arlington Park area of Macon-Bibb County, GA. It scores 6/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 53%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 59%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,369
Renter share76.0%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate48.7%
Median income$22,034
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
68
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
94
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.8187, -83.6826 · click any tract to drill in
Why Arlington Park scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
48.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$760 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Arlington Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 94
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 100%Socioeconomic
- 88%Household composition
- 95%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 1%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,196Total filings over 8 yrs
- 16.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 19.8%Peak (2005)
- 111Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 38% over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 39.2%Housing insecurity
- 32.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 55.4%Food insecurity
- 60.2%SNAP enrollment
- 28.5%Transit barriers
- 23.4%No health insurance
- 24.1%Frequent mental distress
- 52.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Arlington Park
Cost burden runs 77% here against 51.4% across Bibb County. What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. SNAP participation runs 60.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 55.4% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 49%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Set annual rent against average income of $22,034 and the ratio lands at 41%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
This is renter territory: 76% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. At $760 a month, rents run 29% under what the rest of Macon-Bibb County commands.
Against the Bibb County average of 4.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Court records carry 1,196 eviction filings across 8 observed years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021012500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012500?
Census tract 13021012500 in the Arlington Park neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021012500?
Median gross rent is $760/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012500?
48.7% of residents in tract 13021012500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,930.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 88th, minority 95th, housing 53th.
Q5
Is tract 13021012500 considered part of Arlington Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012500 fall within Arlington Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,196 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.57% of renter households, peaking at 19.8% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13021012500 struggle to pay rent?
About 39.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 32.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13021012500 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021012500 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13021012500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 1% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Renaissance on the River
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13021013900
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hillcrest Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Riverside Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Bon Ayer
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Azalea Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Jefferson Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Related