Riverbend Eviction Risk: Elevated

59% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well clear of the Carrollton rate of 34.7%. What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.6/10. The poverty rate is 38%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

Annualized rent equals 36% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. On the high side is housing-court posture at 8.7/10. 71% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over.

Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.4/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 26.5% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 18.4% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

Among the 7 mapped neighborhoods of Carrollton, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. For a like-for-like read, Cottage Hill Plantation and Leisure Heights score within a fraction of it.

Social vulnerability runs high at 9.1/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $1,069, close to the Carrollton average.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.